| FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE |
August
9, 1999 |
| CONTACT:
Diane Pratt |
(202)
225-5235 |
The Boyd Report
"Don't Let Congress Count Chickens Before They Hatch"
By Rep. Allen Boyd
This
year, thanks to robust economic growth, Congress
has reached a milestone. For the first time since
1969, the federal government is scheduled to achieve
an on-budget surplus--financial gains on top of
the Social Security Trust Fund surpluses. After
years of burgeoning deficits produced by irresponsible
spending and taxing decisions, Congress has been
granted the once-in-a-lifetime chance to correct
past mistakes and chart a new course of fiscal
responsibility.
And
Congress is about to squander this golden opportunity.
Just
before departing for the August district work
period, Congress passed the Republican Leadership's
$792 billion tax cut package. The Leadership
says the surplus, projected to accumulate to $1 trillion
over the next decade, will cover the cost of
this ten year tax break.
But
assuming the projected surplus will actually materialize and grow
to the level today's economists predict is no
different than counting your chickens before they hatch. History has
proven that it is nearly impossible to forecast economic conditions five
years, let alone ten years, down the road. No one I know would rely on
a ten year weather forecast--do we want our government to base budgetary
decisions on a ten year economic forecast?
With
this tax plan, the Republican Leadership is recklessly
gambling the financial stability of future generations.
If we codify these enormous tax breaks and the
economy takes even a slight turn for the worse,
Congress will be forced to return to the days
of deficit spending.
Even
if the economy maintains the status quo,
the Republican tax cut is still likely
to initiate deficit spending. Under the best
assumptions, the Leadership's proposal
severely short-changes current programs for education,
veterans, the military, agriculture and
health care. As we have seen in the past, Congress,
as a political body, is more inclined to
practice deficit spending than allow critical
and popular government programs to go unfunded.
Instead
of passing a massive tax cut this nation cannot
yet afford, Congress should adopt sound fiscal
principles which focus on strengthening our economy
through debt reduction. Today, the national
debt totals a staggering $5.6 trillion. Over twenty
percent of this enormous debt is held by foreign
investors. Even more disturbing is the amount
taxpayers spend each year in interest on the debt.
Currently more than 25 percent of all individual
income taxes is spent on interest payments. In
2000, the federal government will spend $222 billion
on net interest--13.4 percent of total government
spending. That is more than Congress will spend
on the entire Medicare program!
The
projected on-budget surplus gives Congress the
unique opportunity to reduce the national debt
during a time when the economy is strong. In fact,
paying down the debt will further energize U.S.
markets. With each dollar of debt we pay off,
we lower our interest costs, and thus, we save
more than a dollar. By decreasing the debt, the
federal government puts downward pressure on interest
rates. Lower interest rates boost domestic investments
and serve as a tax cut for Americans who will
benefit from lower interest on home mortgages,
car loans and credit card accounts.
Unfortunately,
our opportunity to make debt reduction a priority
may not last long. While the economy is pumping
strong today, by 2010, when the baby boomer generation
begins to retire, demographic changes will create
budgetary pressures that could curtail this growth.
As the population of retired Americans increases,
so do the government's outlays for Medicare, Social
Security and other expensive retirement programs.
The Republican tax plan does not factor in any
of these added costs.
Then
Congress returns to Washington in September,
the Leadership will send its tax package to President
Clinton for an anticipated veto. The tax battle,
however, will not end at the President's desk.
As Congress resumes its fight over how to spend
the projected surplus, I will continue to work
with like-minded colleagues to advance sound
fiscal alternatives to this tax plan. For the sake of
our children and grandchildren, who will be saddled
with the debt which we have incurred, it is our
duty to pay down the federal debt. With your
support, we can ensure the government charts a course of
fiscal responsibility.
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