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The Republican Tax Cut is the Wrong Medicine for our Ailing Economy
May 9, 2003 - Our economy is in trouble. Stock values have dropped
28 percent, unemployment has risen from 4 percent to 6 percent, and we have
lost 2.6 million jobs since President Bush took office, despite the passage
two years ago of the president's primary domestic initiative -- his $1.35 trillion
tax cut. It is clear that Congress needs to take action to address our ailing
economy. But the Republican prescription of more tax cuts isn't the right medicine.
Several days ago, the House Republicans introduced a bill that would cut
taxes by $550 billion over the next 10 years. This bill contains a $300
billion provision
that would permanently reduce tax rates on dividends and capital gains. This
bill also contains a number of smaller provisions that would increase tax
breaks for married couples and households with children -- but it would
allow those
tax breaks to expire after 2005 in order to keep the bill's cost down.
During the four years when the federal government was running surpluses,
I supported tax cuts targeted toward middle class families like those in
my district.
But it is clear that the new Republican tax cut plan would do little to
help most people in southwestern Pennsylvania -- and that passage of these
tax
cuts would hamstring the federal government's ability to provide this region
with
the help we really need.
People in this area need jobs. We need affordable health care. Senior citizens
throughout the region need Medicare prescription drug coverage. We need
access to high-quality education. We need to have our roads, bridges
and mass transit
improved. And there are 89 communities in this region that have been
ordered by the federal government to make $3 billion in repairs to their
sewer
systems. Those communities need help from the federal government to make
those repairs.
This country needs an immediate stimulus that will put our economy back
on track. But a number of respected economists and business leaders
have questioned
the wisdom of massive tax cuts at this time. Federal Reserve Chairman
Alan Greenspan, for example, testified before the Senate Banking Committee
recently
that the larger deficits caused by major tax cuts would significantly
undercut any benefits those tax cuts might produce.
And last month, The Associated Press reported that the highly respected
businessman and investor Warren Buffet had said that "President Bush's proposed tax
cut on corporate dividends would not be fair because it favors the wealthy
and there is no guarantee it would stimulate the economy." Buffet went
on to say that "The idea that it creates all kinds of jobs and everything
else, that's what sort of turns me off. . . . They don't have the faintest
idea, in my view, of how many jobs this is going to create."
The deficit is expected to reach $400 billion this year, and Congress
is projected to run massive deficits annually for the foreseeable
future. Given the many
pressing needs facing this country -- the war on terrorism, the
replacement of our country's aging infrastructure, the current health care
crisis
and
the need to invest in our children's education -- any proposal
to make massive permanent cuts in taxes is fiscally irresponsible. A
tax cut
like this would
also explode federal deficits in the coming years and make it almost
impossible to establish a comprehensive Medicare prescription drug
benefit, which
has been estimated to cost roughly $1 trillion over the next 10
years. Perhaps more important in the short run, the proposed tax cuts would do little
to stimulate the economy and create jobs. In fact, targeted federal investments
would be more effective at providing a short-term stimulus for the economy. Such investments would be fairer, too. While the bill's supporters have estimated
that the average American household would receive a tax break of roughly
$1,100 under the House Republican bill, this estimate distorts the amount
of tax relief
that the typical American household would receive. Taxpayers with annual
household incomes of $40,000 or less would receive an average total tax
cut of just $135,
for example. In contrast, taxpayers with annual household incomes of $200,000
or more would receive an average total tax cut of $12,000. Moreover, this
bill provides only two or three years of tax relief to most families --
at the same
time it makes its major tax cuts for the wealthy permanent. That's just not
right. Instead of this ineffective, inequitable and irresponsible tax cut, Congress
should provide immediate short-term relief to states like Pennsylvania, which
are being forced to make devastating cuts in education, health care for children
and the elderly and public safety. Congress should also extend unemployment
benefits for people who, because of the recession, are still unable to find
new jobs. In addition, Congress should provide additional investment in public infrastructure
like roads, bridges, mass transit and sewers. And, finally, Congress should
ensure that Medicare and Medicaid are adequately funded.
Such an approach would constitute a fair, fast-acting and fiscally responsible
federal response to the current economic recession.
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